梅尔尼琴科不是反普京反对派,他的工厂支持过战争经济;他 2023 年才从海外回到俄罗斯,在普京规则下做生意多年。他之所以开口,是因为他与同辈寡头已经无法继续对国家的腐烂视而不见。他的核心论点很直白:普京不会打赢这场战争,但任何升级——包括战术核武器的使用——都不会带来持久和平。长期来看俄罗斯要么陷入军阀混战、被外部势力瓜分,要么退化为孤立堡垒,每一种情景都是对俄罗斯和世界的灾难。《想改变俄罗斯的那个人》(The man who would change Russia,p17)位于 Leaders 板块头条,1843 杂志另有《寡头打破沉默》(A top oligarch breaks his silence,p241)的访谈长篇。
三、痴呆突破与公共卫生议程
Briefing 板块头条《世界在对抗痴呆的斗争中取得惊人进展》(The world is making heady progress in the fight against dementia,p54)给出一个反直觉的好消息:老年人痴呆发病率正在快速下降,部分原因是一种简单的疫苗接种可显著降低风险。Leaders 板块配套社论《护脑不费吹灰之力》(A no-brainer for protecting your brain,Sharp as a tack)呼吁把这种"一针防护"纳入常规公共卫生议程。这是本期最积极的科学议程,呼应《柳叶刀》近年关于神经退行性疾病负担的研究,也借机制类比呼应读者对老龄化社会治理的关注。
三、儿童刑事责任年龄的全球退潮
Leaders 板块另一篇重磅社论《谁能作恶?》(Who is capable of evil?Children and the law,p16)警告:多国政府正下调刑事责任年龄,把更小的孩子送进司法系统。研究显示这往往适得其反——青少年大脑前额叶要到二十多岁才发育成熟,过早刑事化既不能遏制青少年犯罪,又会留下终身污点。International 板块的《未成年嫌犯被更早起诉》(Child suspects are being prosecuted at younger ages,p228)用全球案例展开这一议题,把英、法、澳大利亚等地的政策摆到台面上。
其他看点
本期导读块列出的四个副题,伊朗(Iran:bombs and a burial)报道伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊葬礼引发的新权力格局,以及特朗普政府撕毁停火协议、恢复对伊石油制裁;痴呆疫苗(A jab that reduces dementia risk)即上述 Briefin/Leader 组合;中国光刻机与荷兰大师(China,lithography and a Dutch master)围绕中国是否获得全球最重要光刻机的争议,ASML 高管发声反驳美方指控;儿童刑事责任年龄(When do children become criminals?)即上述议题。China 板块还报道中国释放北京大型家庭教会牧师金明日(Jin Mingri)、罕见试射远程弹道导弹引发亚洲邻国不安;Finance 板块《AI 接管股市,债市是下一个》(AI has taken over the stock market,p305)探讨信贷风险定价难题。
Leaders 社论 · Leaders
页码
中文标题
English Title
17
《想改变俄罗斯的那个人》
The man who would change Russia
19
《为特朗普账户鼓两掌》
Two cheers for Trump Accounts
19
《英格兰需要的不是更多公屋,而是更少》
England needs fewer council homes, not more
19
《护脑不费吹灰之力》
A no-brainer for protecting your brain
19
《谁能作恶?》
Who is capable of evil?
Letters 来函 · Letters
页码
中文标题
English Title
36
《大型 AI 实验室为何大量招揽哲学家?》
Why are big AI labs hiring so many philosophers?
特邀评论 · By Invitation
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中文标题
English Title
45
《为一个"可变几何"联盟的世界做准备》
Prepare for a world of ad hoc coalitions
46
《医学能治肥胖,但对"什么是肥胖"无共识》
Medicine can treat obesity, but can't agree on what obesity is
简报 · Briefing
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中文标题
English Title
54
《世界在对抗痴呆的斗争中取得惊人进展》
The world is making heady progress in the fight against dementia
英国 · Britain
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中文标题
English Title
69
《安迪·伯纳姆的公屋建设承诺有多现实?》
How realistic is Andy Burnham's council-house building pledge?
71
《英国的社会保障房补贴给了错的人》
Britain's social housing subsidises the wrong people
72
《英国人为何如今更信任天气预报员》
Why Britons now trust weather forecasters
73
《法拉奇的小动作成就了他,但成不了首相》
Nigel Farage's stunts made him a successful politician. They won't make him PM
74
《AI 写作正在接管威斯敏斯特吗?》
Is AI writing taking over Westminster?
75
《某些苏格兰鹪鹩是"岛屿综合征"的鲜明案例》
Some Scottish wrens are a striking case of "island syndrome"
76
《特蕾莎·梅:英国首位——也是末位——"觉醒"首相》
Theresa May: Britain's first—and last—woke prime minister
欧洲 · Europe
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中文标题
English Title
105
《欧洲承诺为防务掏钱,但迟迟拿不出真金白银》
Europe has promised cash for defence. It's failing to provide it
107
《玛丽娜·勒庞竞选法国总统》
Marine Le Pen is running for the French presidency
109
《北约熬过一场两极分化的峰会》
NATO survives its bipolar summit
111
《波兰与乌克兰因历史翻脸》
Poland and Ukraine have fallen out over history
113
《俄罗斯人日益焦虑愤怒》
Russians are growing anxious and angry
115
《欧洲公共广播从黄金档滑向难觅踪影》
Europe's public broadcasters go from prime time to hard-to-find
美国 · United States
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中文标题
English Title
134
《得克萨斯州打响阻止"伊斯兰化"的战争》
Texas is waging a battle to stop "Islamification"
136
《格雷厄姆·普拉特纳的崩塌对民主党意味着什么?》
What Graham Platner’s collapse means for the Democrats
138
《特朗普为何不肯让一项注定失败的法案死掉》
Why Donald Trump won't let a doomed bill die
141
《Z 世代卢德派的崛起》
Rise of the Gen-Z Luddite
143
《梅赫梅特·奥兹,特朗普最高效的电视明星》
Mehmet Oz, Donald Trump's most effective TV star
145
《左翼在治安问题上的常识困境》
The left's common-sense problem on crime
中东与非洲 · Middle East & Africa
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中文标题
English Title
160
《特朗普宣称对伊朗停火协议作废是认真的吗?》
Is Donald Trump serious in declaring the ceasefire with Iran over?
163
《重建叙利亚将耗资超 2000 亿美元,轰炸无济于事》
Rebuilding Syria will cost over $200bn. Bombs are not helping
165
《艾哈迈德·沙拉正在铲除叙利亚庞大的"芬乃他林"产业》
Ahmed al-Sharaa is quashing Syria's vast captagon trade
167
《非洲能走上亚洲式增长之路吗?》
Can Africa take the Asian path to growth?
美洲 · The Americas
页码
中文标题
English Title
178
《巴西城市正建造庞大的监控网络》
Brazilian cities are building vast surveillance networks
180
《墨西哥把重注押在铁路上》
Mexico is placing an enormous bet on rail
182
《美国人与加拿大人因矿区起纷争》
Americans and Canadians are squabbling over mines
亚洲 · Asia
页码
中文标题
English Title
194
《尖端半导体能助日本一飞冲天吗?》
Can cutting-edge semiconductors supercharge Japan?
197
《老挝怀揣能源出口大梦》
Laos has big dreams of exporting energy
199
《印度芒果被日本禁入》
Indian mangoes have been banned from Japan
201
《韩国佛教徒如何努力保持时代相关性》
How South Korean Buddhists are trying to stay relevant
203
《印度人在读什么,以及这揭示了怎样的自我》
What Indians are reading, and what that reveals about the self
中国 · China
页码
中文标题
English Title
214
《中国是否已获得全球最重要的机器?》
Has China obtained the world's most important machine?
217
《中国释放一位知名基督教牧师》
China releases a prominent Christian pastor
219
《中国罕见试射导弹令亚洲邻国不安》
A rare Chinese missile test unnerves Asian neighbours
221
《中国媒体对英国混乱的民主幸灾乐祸》
China's media gloat at Britain's chaotic democracy
国际 · International
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中文标题
English Title
228
《未成年嫌犯被更早起诉》
Child suspects are being prosecuted at younger ages
231
《若荒诞的特朗普谄媚能救北约,那就来》
If ludicrous Trump flattery can save NATO, bring it on
1843 杂志 · 1843
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中文标题
English Title
241
《一位寡头打破沉默》
A top oligarch breaks his silence
财经 · Finance & economics
页码
中文标题
English Title
305
《中国可能难以支撑习近平的科技梦想》
China may struggle to fund Xi Jinping's tech dreams
307
《AI 已接管股市,债市是下一个》
AI has taken over the stock market. The bond market is next
309
《世界银行放弃了气候目标》
The World Bank has ditched its climate targets
311
《女性职场进步陷入停滞》
Women's progress at work is stalling
313
《LNG 市场在入冬前可能破裂的三种方式》
Three ways the LNG market could crack before winter
316
《欧洲经济一团糟,股市却便宜得离谱》
Europe's economy is a mess. Its stock markets are a steal
318
《老龄化社会的成本或许没那么高》
An ageing society might not cost too much
科技 · Science & technology
页码
中文标题
English Title
342
《芯片制造的未来更像是曼哈顿而非硅谷》
The future of chipmaking looks more like Manhattan than Silicon Valley
345
《如何在杀人无人机前隐身》
How to hide from killer drones
347
《温网统计学指南》
A statistician's guide to Wimbledon
349
《最大的树如何在干旱中存活》
How the biggest trees survive droughts
351
《你最少需要多少运动量?》
How little exercise can you get away with?
文化 · Culture
页码
中文标题
English Title
361
《走进唐纳德·特朗普的奇幻世界》
Inside the fantasy world of Donald Trump
364
《普拉提百年再展雄风》
A century on, Pilates flexes its muscles
366
《古典大师画作为何卷土重来》
Why Old Master paintings are back in vogue
368
《人类面部史远不止"皮肤之下"》
The history of the human face is more than skin deep
370
《最亮的旅游趋势藏在最暗的地方》
The brightest tourism trend can be found in the darkest places
